Study Setup

Design: Post-hoc analysis of longitudinal Torque Teno Virus (TTV) data.

Cohorts:

  • Discovery cohort: 252 kidney transplant recipients from the CTOT-08 study (2011–2014), with 1,967 plasma samples and an average of 7.8 visits per patient over 2 years.
  • Validation cohort: 162 patients from the Northwestern Biorepository (NWB), with 173 samples.

Sampling: Surveillance biopsies at 2–6-, 12-, and 24-months post-transplant; monthly visits for the first 6 months, then quarterly.

TTV Quantification: Performed using TRACID [metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS)] by Eurofins Transplant Genomics, with validation via qPCR.

Key Findings Enabled by TRACID:

  • Longitudinal TTV trajectories (slopes over time) generated via TRACID outperform single-point measurements in predicting subclinical acute rejection (AR) and infection.
  • A declining TTV slope combined with low current TTV and high historical TTV average is associated with a 13.88-fold increase in the odds of subclinical AR.
  • A rising TTV slope is linked to a 12.15-fold increase in the odds of viral infection.
  • TRACID supports a two-threshold framework (logTTV 4.5 and 7.8) to stratify patients into Under-, Even-, and Over-immunosuppression states—enabling personalized IS management.

Immunosuppression (IS) Level Stratification Based on logTTV

IS CategorylogTTV RangeAssociated Risk
Under-IS≤ 4.5Increased risk of Subclinical Acute Rejection
Even-IS4.5 – 7.8Baseline Risk (Reference)
Over-IS≥ 7.8Increased risk of Viral Infection over Subclinical AR

This study validates TRACID’s role in transforming immune monitoring from static snapshots to dynamic, patient-specific insights. It represents a meaningful step toward precision medicine in transplantation, where immunosuppression can be tailored to each patient’s evolving immune status.

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